The whipping post

Unveiling the Veil: Navigating Option Volatility Surrounding Earnings Reports

Riding the Rollercoaster: Implied Volatility Peaks and Troughs

As we bid adieu to another earnings season, where titans of industry unveil their financial prowess, a select cadre steps onto the stage amidst a crescendo of uncertainty. Crowdstrike, Target, Broadcom, and Costco are poised to deliver their fiscal symphony, casting ripples of implied volatility across the market’s serene waters.

Earnings release often heralds a cacophony of speculation and hedging. Option prices gyrate in anticipation, reflecting the market’s ambivalence. But once the final chord is struck, the volatility tide recedes, revealing a new landscape.

Forecasting the Storm: Expected Moves

Embarking on a voyage into the labyrinth of expected range, traders chart a course through the treacherous waters of at-the-money options. With CRWD, TGT, AVGO, and COST on the horizon, the whispers of potential price swings echo through the canyons of Wall Street.

Each day unfurls a new chapter:

  • Monday:
    • SE – 17.6%
    • GTLB – 18.4%
  • Tuesday:
    • CRWD – 11.9%
    • TGT – 7.2%
  • Wednesday:
    • CPB – 4.6%
    • JD – 9.4%
  • Thursday:
    • AVGO – 8.3%
    • COST – 4.2%
    • MRVL – 11.6%
  • Friday: Nothing of note

Navigating the Tempest: Options Trading Strategies

Armed with the knowledge of expected moves, traders unfurl their strategies like sails in a storm. Bears prowl the markets, eyeing bear call spreads beyond the expected range. Bulls, with horns raised, venture into the fray with bull put spreads and naked puts. The neutral mariners seek refuge in the iron condors, anchoring their hopes to the shifting winds of volatility.

Remember, in the face of uncertainty, keep your strategies risk-defined and your position sizes modest. Let not the siren song of the markets lead you astray, for a well-crafted plan can weather any storm.

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Unveiling Hidden Treasures: High Implied Volatility Search

With the Stock Screener as your sextant, navigate the sea of high implied volatility in search of hidden gems. Set your filters high, with total call volume greater than 2,000, market cap above 40 billion, and IV percentile exceeding 70%. Peer into the abyss of volatility and emerge with newfound insights.

Tales of the Recent Past: Last Week’s Earnings Odyssey

As we cast a retrospective gaze upon last week’s earnings spectacle, we witness a tapestry of outcomes:

  • 18 out of 20 companies held within the expected range, a testament to the art of forecasting amidst uncertainty.

With LI soaring past expectations and SNOW plummeting into the abyss, the market’s capricious nature was on full display.

Unraveling the Mysteries: Changes in Open Interest

AMD, SQ, PLUG, C, F, MSFT, and RIVN danced a tango of unusual options activity, leaving traders spellbound. As the labyrinth of options unfolds, new paths emerge. Venture forth with caution, for the markets are a treacherous sea.

Remember, in the realm of options, fortune favors the prudent, and risk lurks in the shadows. As you navigate this volatile landscape, let reason be your compass and diligence your shield.