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Will This Small-Cap Stock Be the Next MicroStrategy?



Exploring Semler Scientific as a Bitcoin Bet

The Bitcoin Boom: Semler Scientific on the Rise

Amidst the tumultuous waves of the stock market, a small-cap medical technology company named Semler Scientific (SMLR) managed to raise a few eyebrows. In a surprising move, Semler disclosed its adoption of Bitcoin as a primary reserve asset, fueling a remarkable 38% surge in its shares over the past two trading sessions.

Despite its recent remarkable gains – now ebbing back slightly, with a decline of about 8.5% today – this healthcare stock is still adrift at roughly 79% away from its all-time highs. Ever since its IPO in early 2014, Semler Scientific has rewarded shareholders with a return of 360%.

The Bitcoin Impact on SMLR Stock

Eric Semler, the company’s chairman, highlighted the rationale behind Semler’s Bitcoin treasury strategy. In a candid press release, he expressed his belief in Bitcoin as a reliable store of value and an intriguing investment option. The move underscores the uniqueness of Bitcoin as a scarce and finite asset that serves as a poignant hedge against inflation and a safe haven in times of global turmoil.

Bitcoin itself has been a stellar performer, with dazzling returns that have left traditional assets in the dust. In a span of nine years, the digital currency has skyrocketed by over 20,000%, now boasting a valuation of $1.3 trillion. The limited supply of 21 million BTC, with over 19 million already in circulation, contributes to its allure as a decentralized and scarce asset offering diversification despite its characteristic volatility.

Comparing Semler Scientific with the Likes of MicroStrategy

MicroStrategy (MSTR), a prominent player in the tech industry, mirrors Semler’s affinity for Bitcoin. It stands as one of the largest institutional holders of Bitcoin globally, intertwining its fate closely with the cryptocurrency’s performance. Over the past five years, Bitcoin’s price has surged by a staggering 750%, propelling MSTR stock to rise over 1,100% since May 2019.

See also  Vertiv Shines Bright: AI Infrastructure Stock Surges The Rise of Vertiv in the AI Landscape

Vertiv (VRT), a key player in critical digital infrastructure such as data center and systems management, unveiled robust quarterly earnings today, driving its stock to record highs. As the artificial intelligence sector blooms, Vertiv's stock has been on a stellar trajectory over the past year, reflecting investors' recognition of its pivotal role in the AI landscape. Even with its remarkable ascent, Vertiv remains attractively valued, poised for prolonged growth, fortified by a top Zacks Rank portending possible further market upticks.

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Empowering AI with Robust Infrastructure

Vertiv's recent earnings demonstrate the remarkable boost generative AI has provided to its operations, with no signs of waning. The company occupies a prime position within the AI surge, bolstering shareholder confidence. Vertiv’s pivotal contributions to the AI revolution include:

High-Density Power and Cooling Solutions: Vertiv's advanced data center solutions ensure optimal performance and prevent overheating in response to the escalating power demands of AI workloads. Technical Partnerships: Collaborations with industry leaders like Nvidia allow Vertiv to tailor solutions to meet the unique requirements of cutting-edge AI hardware. End-to-End Expertise: Vertiv offers comprehensive solutions that streamline AI infrastructure deployment and boost performance by managing power delivery and heat rejection effectively. Global Reach and Scalability: With a global presence, Vertiv can cater to the surging demand for data center infrastructure worldwide, adapting to evolving power and cooling needs across different regions.

Given its pivotal role in the AI ecosystem, Vertiv emerges as a prime candidate among AI-related stocks for investment.

Impressive Earnings Performance

Vertiv's first-quarter financials for 2024 surpassed sales and earnings estimates, with a notable organic order surge of 60% year-on-year. Net sales soared to $1,639 million, marking an 8% increase from the same period in 2023. The quarter witnessed an operating profit of $203 million, with adjusted operating profit spiking to $249 million, a substantial 42% annual growth.

In a strategic move, Vertiv initiated share buybacks, repurchasing around 9.1 million shares at a favorable average price, which proved timely as stock prices surged subsequently. Upbeat about its performance, Vertiv raised its full-year 2024 guidance, projecting a 12% growth in net sales at the midpoint, coupled with increased operating and adjusted operating profits. The robust demand, especially in AI-led deployments and liquid cooling technologies, positions Vertiv for sustained growth in the evolving digital infrastructure arena.

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Considering Vertiv as an Investment

Vertiv's integral role in the AI domain, supported by its top Zacks Rank and reasonable valuation, marks it as an enticing investment prospect. With a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), and optimistic earnings revisions for the next quarter and year, Vertiv exhibits promising growth potential. At a one-year forward earnings multiple of 33.5x, Vertiv's valuation surpasses its median but remains below the industry average, justifying its significance in the AI sector. Moreover, with an estimated annual EPS growth of 26.7% over the next 3-5 years, Vertiv's investment appeal shines brighter.

Exploring Other AI Investment Avenues

Recent market fluctuations have presented buying opportunities in the AI sector, with noteworthy tech and AI-related stocks witnessing dips of 10%-20%. Among the standout names in AI, Nvidia emerges prominently, presenting investors with a compelling avenue for AI-driven growth.

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Other notable entities diving into the Bitcoin frenzy include Tesla (TSLA), Block (SQ), and PayPal (PYPL). Their foray into the realm of cryptocurrencies showcases a growing trend among companies towards hedging and diversifying their assets.

Setting Sail for Future Growth

As Semler places its bets on Bitcoin, the company reiterates its commitment to its core medical products and services. With a focus on generating revenue, cash flows, and earnings from its primary operations, Semler aims to navigate the turbulent waters of the market while embracing the potential rewards of its Bitcoin investment.

The Future Fortunes of SMLR Stock

While Semler reported a dip in revenue for Q1 of 2024, its operating expenses witnessed a significant reduction from the previous year. This efficient cost management allowed Semler to post a net income of $6.1 million or $0.88 per share, marking a positive turn from the prior year’s figures.

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Analysts, albeit cautiously, foresee a “Strong Buy” rating for SMLR stock, setting a target price of $45 which represents a promising 50.4% upside from current levels. With Wall Street projecting adjusted earnings of $1.96 per share for the end of 2024, Semler’s price-to-earnings ratio of 17x forward earnings may seem steep given an anticipated 27% narrowing in earnings for the same period.


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